NBA Scoring Volatility

How predictable are NBA scorers game-to-game? This dashboard measures volatility using Coefficient of Variation (CV) — the ratio of standard deviation to mean scoring. Lower CV means more consistent output.

Oct 22 2024 – Mar 18 2026  ·  Regular Season & Playoffs  ·  Min 15 games

Scoring Volume vs Volatility

Each dot is a player. As PPG rises, CV drops — stars are predictable.

Median Volatility by Tier

Clear staircase: elite scorers cluster near CV 0.35, bench players above 0.85.

Absolute Point Swings vs PPG

Raw StdDev rises with PPG (r = 0.83) — bigger volume, bigger swings in raw terms.

CV Distribution

Right-skewed: most players below CV 1.5, long tail from low-usage players.

All Players

Player Team PPG StdDev CV GP MPG Tier